DroughtOdds

Drought in Clay County, KY: 1.5 years in 10 since 2000

1.5 years in 10

Clay County, KY: 4 of 26 full years had 13+ weeks in drought. Less drought-prone than most US counties.

  1. 15
  2. 8
  3. 3
  4. 0
  5. 0
  6. 16
  7. 4
  8. 37
  9. 30
  10. 1
  11. 0
  12. 0
  13. 4
  14. 0
  15. 0
  16. 2
  17. 11
  18. 0
  19. 0
  20. 6
  21. 0
  22. 0
  23. 3
  24. 8
  25. 3
  26. 0

20002025

Drought years: 2000 (15 wk), 2005 (16 wk), 2007 (37 wk) and 2008 (30 wk). Not a single drought week in 2003, 2004, 2010, 2011, 2013, 2014, 2017, 2018, 2020, 2021 and 2025.

A regular lawn is fine here; plan for the odd dry year

Real droughts are rare here. A smart controller that skips watering after rain covers the odd dry year.

You can keep a regular lawn. Worth doing: a rain-sensing or smart controller, and deeper, less frequent watering if Nov turns dry.

Against the rest of KY

27th most drought-prone of 120 KY counties; the KY middle is 1.2 in 10. Closest on the list: Wayne County (1.5 in 10) and Jessamine County (1.5 in 10). Driest in KY: Calloway County (2.3 in 10). Least drought: Grant County (0.4 in 10).

When in the year it hits

Most often in Nov (23% of weeks), then Dec (20%) and Oct (18%). Least in Mar (4%). May to September averages 10%.

  1. 13 Jan
  2. 9 Feb
  3. 4 Mar
  4. 4 Apr
  5. 9 May
  6. 13 Jun
  7. 8 Jul
  8. 7 Aug
  9. 14 Sep
  10. 18 Oct
  11. 23 Nov
  12. 20 Dec

The worst year: 2007

2007: 37 weeks in drought, peaking at D4 exceptional. Across 1,401 weekly maps: 11.8% of all weeks at D1 or worse, 4.9% at D2, 1.6% at D3, 7 weeks with some of the county in D4. Longest unbroken spell: 42 weeks, May 22, 2007 to Mar 4, 2008.

Lately

Last drought year: 2008, 30 weeks. 2016-2025: 0 in 10, against 2.5 in 10 for 2000-2015, wetter lately. So far in 2026: 14 of 44 weeks in drought, through Nov 3, 2026.

Further reading

Clay County lands on the plan covered in keeping a regular lawn. Its last ten years ran wetter than the ten before; what that does and does not mean. How each of Clay County's 1,401 weeks was judged: how drought is counted.