DroughtOdds

Drought in Coconino County, AZ: 6.9 years in 10 since 2000

6.9 years in 10

Coconino County, AZ: 18 of 26 full years had 13+ weeks in drought. More drought-prone than most US counties.

  1. 8
  2. 0
  3. 47
  4. 52
  5. 52
  6. 6
  7. 48
  8. 48
  9. 0
  10. 18
  11. 24
  12. 20
  13. 52
  14. 38
  15. 42
  16. 42
  17. 0
  18. 5
  19. 52
  20. 23
  21. 32
  22. 52
  23. 52
  24. 1
  25. 0
  26. 49

20002025

Drought years: 2002 (47 wk), 2003 (52 wk), 2004 (52 wk), 2006 (48 wk), 2007 (48 wk), 2009 (18 wk), 2010 (24 wk), 2011 (20 wk), 2012 (52 wk), 2013 (38 wk), 2014 (42 wk), 2015 (42 wk), 2018 (52 wk), 2019 (23 wk), 2020 (32 wk), 2021 (52 wk), 2022 (52 wk) and 2025 (49 wk). Not a single drought week in 2001, 2008, 2016 and 2024.

Plan for drought as normal: shrink the lawn, go drip and natives

Drought is the normal state of things here. Most of the yard goes to natives and gravel on drip; any grass that stays is a small, tough patch.

If you are replacing turf, plant natives in fall so roots set before the Sep peak, and check your water utility for a turf-removal rebate before you dig.

Against the rest of AZ

12th most drought-prone of 15 AZ counties; the AZ middle is 7.7 in 10. Closest on the list: Mohave County (6.9 in 10) and Yavapai County (6.9 in 10). Driest in AZ: Apache County (8.1 in 10). Least drought: Yuma County (6.9 in 10).

When in the year it hits

Most often in Sep (69% of weeks), then Aug (64%) and Oct (62%). Least in Jan (50%). May to September averages 58%.

  1. 50 Jan
  2. 53 Feb
  3. 53 Mar
  4. 53 Apr
  5. 52 May
  6. 52 Jun
  7. 55 Jul
  8. 64 Aug
  9. 69 Sep
  10. 62 Oct
  11. 59 Nov
  12. 58 Dec

The worst year: 2003

2003: 52 weeks in drought, peaking at D4 exceptional. Across 1,401 weekly maps: 56.6% of all weeks at D1 or worse, 29.8% at D2, 13.1% at D3, 134 weeks with some of the county in D4. Longest unbroken spell: 157 weeks, Feb 12, 2002 to Feb 8, 2005.

Lately

Last drought year: 2025, 49 weeks. 2016-2025: 6 in 10, against 7.5 in 10 for 2000-2015, about the same. So far in 2026: 30 of 44 weeks in drought, through Nov 3, 2026.

Further reading

Coconino County lands on the plan covered in shrinking the lawn. Its worst year, 2003, was not one of the big national drought years; see the worst years since 2000. How each of Coconino County's 1,401 weeks was judged: how drought is counted.