DroughtOdds

Drought in Davidson County, TN: 1.5 years in 10 since 2000

1.5 years in 10

Davidson County, TN: 4 of 26 full years had 13+ weeks in drought. Less drought-prone than most US counties.

  1. 35
  2. 9
  3. 0
  4. 0
  5. 0
  6. 8
  7. 3
  8. 37
  9. 25
  10. 0
  11. 9
  12. 8
  13. 6
  14. 0
  15. 0
  16. 0
  17. 17
  18. 0
  19. 0
  20. 2
  21. 0
  22. 0
  23. 11
  24. 11
  25. 8
  26. 7

20002025

Drought years: 2000 (35 wk), 2007 (37 wk), 2008 (25 wk) and 2016 (17 wk). Not a single drought week in 2002, 2003, 2004, 2009, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2017, 2018, 2020 and 2021.

A regular lawn is fine here; plan for the odd dry year

Real droughts are rare here. A smart controller that skips watering after rain covers the odd dry year.

You can keep a regular lawn. Worth doing: a rain-sensing or smart controller, and deeper, less frequent watering if Nov turns dry.

Against the rest of TN

84th most drought-prone of 95 TN counties; the TN middle is 2.3 in 10. Closest on the list: Chester County (1.5 in 10) and Hickman County (1.5 in 10). Driest in TN: Bradley County (3.8 in 10). Least drought: Robertson County (1.2 in 10).

When in the year it hits

Most often in Nov (30% of weeks), then Oct (23%) and Sep (22%). Least in Mar (5%). May to September averages 14%.

  1. 18 Jan
  2. 14 Feb
  3. 5 Mar
  4. 5 Apr
  5. 15 May
  6. 13 Jun
  7. 13 Jul
  8. 9 Aug
  9. 22 Sep
  10. 23 Oct
  11. 30 Nov
  12. 20 Dec

The worst year: 2007

2007: 37 weeks in drought, peaking at D4 exceptional. Across 1,401 weekly maps: 15.6% of all weeks at D1 or worse, 5.3% at D2, 1.5% at D3, 11 weeks with some of the county in D4. Longest unbroken spell: 48 weeks, Apr 24, 2007 to Mar 18, 2008.

Lately

Last drought year: 2016, 17 weeks. 2016-2025: 1 in 10, against 1.9 in 10 for 2000-2015, about the same. So far in 2026: 23 of 44 weeks in drought, through Nov 3, 2026.

Further reading

Davidson County lands on the plan covered in keeping a regular lawn. Its worst year, 2007, was one of the worst nationally too; see the worst years since 2000. How each of Davidson County's 1,401 weeks was judged: how drought is counted.