DroughtOdds

Drought in Elmore County, AL: 3.5 years in 10 since 2000

3.5 years in 10

Elmore County, AL: 9 of 26 full years had 13+ weeks in drought. About as drought-prone as a typical US county.

  1. 45
  2. 9
  3. 22
  4. 0
  5. 0
  6. 0
  7. 17
  8. 40
  9. 36
  10. 5
  11. 16
  12. 52
  13. 52
  14. 6
  15. 6
  16. 0
  17. 13
  18. 8
  19. 0
  20. 8
  21. 0
  22. 0
  23. 0
  24. 4
  25. 9
  26. 12

20002025

Drought years: 2000 (45 wk), 2002 (22 wk), 2006 (17 wk), 2007 (40 wk), 2008 (36 wk), 2010 (16 wk), 2011 (52 wk), 2012 (52 wk) and 2016 (13 wk). Not a single drought week in 2003, 2004, 2005, 2015, 2018, 2020, 2021 and 2022.

Plan for drought as normal: shrink the lawn, go drip and natives

Drought is the normal state of things here. Most of the yard goes to natives and gravel on drip; any grass that stays is a small, tough patch.

If you are replacing turf, plant natives in fall so roots set before the Oct peak, and check your water utility for a turf-removal rebate before you dig.

This is one step drier than the yearly count alone suggests, because 26% of growing-season weeks here were in drought.

Against the rest of AL

29th most drought-prone of 67 AL counties; the AL middle is 3.5 in 10. Closest on the list: Dallas County (3.8 in 10) and Pike County (3.5 in 10). Driest in AL: Chambers County (5.4 in 10). Least drought: Morgan County (2.3 in 10).

When in the year it hits

Most often in Oct (37% of weeks), then Nov (36%) and Dec (30%). Least in Feb (20%). May to September averages 26%.

  1. 28 Jan
  2. 20 Feb
  3. 24 Mar
  4. 23 Apr
  5. 28 May
  6. 21 Jun
  7. 27 Jul
  8. 24 Aug
  9. 28 Sep
  10. 37 Oct
  11. 36 Nov
  12. 30 Dec

The worst year: 2012

2012: 52 weeks in drought, peaking at D4 exceptional. Across 1,401 weekly maps: 27.2% of all weeks at D1 or worse, 17.4% at D2, 8.7% at D3, 56 weeks with some of the county in D4. Longest unbroken spell: 126 weeks, Sep 14, 2010 to Feb 5, 2013.

Lately

Last drought year: 2016, 13 weeks. 2016-2025: 1 in 10, against 5 in 10 for 2000-2015, wetter lately. So far in 2026: 21 of 44 weeks in drought, through Nov 3, 2026.

Further reading

Elmore County lands on the plan covered in shrinking the lawn. Its last ten years ran wetter than the ten before; what that does and does not mean. How each of Elmore County's 1,401 weeks was judged: how drought is counted.