DroughtOdds

Drought in Miller County, AR: 3.1 years in 10 since 2000

3.1 years in 10

Miller County, AR: 8 of 26 full years had 13+ weeks in drought. About as drought-prone as a typical US county.

  1. 20
  2. 0
  3. 0
  4. 2
  5. 7
  6. 27
  7. 50
  8. 1
  9. 0
  10. 0
  11. 7
  12. 52
  13. 40
  14. 31
  15. 0
  16. 12
  17. 11
  18. 11
  19. 16
  20. 10
  21. 6
  22. 10
  23. 31
  24. 3
  25. 9
  26. 0

20002025

Drought years: 2000 (20 wk), 2005 (27 wk), 2006 (50 wk), 2011 (52 wk), 2012 (40 wk), 2013 (31 wk), 2018 (16 wk) and 2022 (31 wk). Not a single drought week in 2001, 2002, 2008, 2009, 2014 and 2025.

Plan for drought as normal: shrink the lawn, go drip and natives

Drought is the normal state of things here. Most of the yard goes to natives and gravel on drip; any grass that stays is a small, tough patch.

If you are replacing turf, plant natives in fall so roots set before the Oct peak, and check your water utility for a turf-removal rebate before you dig.

This is one step drier than the yearly count alone suggests, because 26% of growing-season weeks here were in drought.

Against the rest of AR

37th most drought-prone of 75 AR counties; the AR middle is 3.1 in 10. Closest on the list: Benton County (3.5 in 10) and Hempstead County (3.1 in 10). Driest in AR: Lee County (4.6 in 10). Least drought: Clay County (2.3 in 10).

When in the year it hits

Most often in Oct (41% of weeks), then Sep (37%) and Dec (36%). Least in Apr (15%). May to September averages 26%.

  1. 32 Jan
  2. 27 Feb
  3. 21 Mar
  4. 15 Apr
  5. 17 May
  6. 24 Jun
  7. 24 Jul
  8. 29 Aug
  9. 37 Sep
  10. 41 Oct
  11. 35 Nov
  12. 36 Dec

The worst year: 2011

2011: 52 weeks in drought, peaking at D4 exceptional. Across 1,401 weekly maps: 27.9% of all weeks at D1 or worse, 13.8% at D2, 4.9% at D3, 23 weeks with some of the county in D4. Longest unbroken spell: 66 weeks, Dec 7, 2010 to Mar 6, 2012.

Lately

Last drought year: 2022, 31 weeks. 2016-2025: 2 in 10, against 3.8 in 10 for 2000-2015, about the same. So far in 2026: 35 of 44 weeks in drought, through Nov 3, 2026.

Further reading

Miller County lands on the plan covered in shrinking the lawn. Its worst year, 2011, was not one of the big national drought years; see the worst years since 2000. How each of Miller County's 1,401 weeks was judged: how drought is counted.