DroughtOdds

Drought in Rockbridge County, VA: 1.5 years in 10 since 2000

1.5 years in 10

Rockbridge County, VA: 4 of 26 full years had 13+ weeks in drought. Less drought-prone than most US counties.

  1. 0
  2. 10
  3. 40
  4. 0
  5. 0
  6. 0
  7. 0
  8. 7
  9. 3
  10. 7
  11. 1
  12. 8
  13. 0
  14. 5
  15. 0
  16. 0
  17. 0
  18. 6
  19. 6
  20. 5
  21. 0
  22. 7
  23. 0
  24. 19
  25. 21
  26. 18

20002025

Drought years: 2002 (40 wk), 2023 (19 wk), 2024 (21 wk) and 2025 (18 wk). Not a single drought week in 2000, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2012, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2020 and 2022.

A regular lawn is fine here; plan for the odd dry year

Real droughts are rare here. A smart controller that skips watering after rain covers the odd dry year.

You can keep a regular lawn. Worth doing: a rain-sensing or smart controller, and deeper, less frequent watering if Sep turns dry.

Drought has been more common in 2016-2025 (3 years in 10) than in 2000-2015 (0.6 in 10).

Against the rest of VA

105th most drought-prone of 133 VA counties; the VA middle is 1.9 in 10. Closest on the list: Augusta County (1.5 in 10) and Lexington City (1.5 in 10). Driest in VA: Halifax County (3.1 in 10). Least drought: Covington City (1.2 in 10).

When in the year it hits

Most often in Sep (20% of weeks), then Oct (19%) and Jan (18%). Least in May (7%). May to September averages 13%.

  1. 18 Jan
  2. 15 Feb
  3. 15 Mar
  4. 11 Apr
  5. 7 May
  6. 12 Jun
  7. 12 Jul
  8. 15 Aug
  9. 20 Sep
  10. 19 Oct
  11. 14 Nov
  12. 16 Dec

The worst year: 2002

2002: 40 weeks in drought, peaking at D3 extreme. Across 1,401 weekly maps: 14.5% of all weeks at D1 or worse, 4.6% at D2, 0.6% at D3, never any D4. Longest unbroken spell: 56 weeks, Sep 16, 2025 to Oct 6, 2026.

Lately

Last drought year: 2025, 18 weeks. 2016-2025: 3 in 10, against 0.6 in 10 for 2000-2015, drier lately. So far in 2026: 40 of 44 weeks in drought, through Nov 3, 2026.

Further reading

Rockbridge County lands on the plan covered in keeping a regular lawn. Its last ten years ran drier than the ten before; what that does and does not mean. How each of Rockbridge County's 1,401 weeks was judged: how drought is counted.