DroughtOdds

Drought in Shenandoah County, VA: 1.9 years in 10 since 2000

1.9 years in 10

Shenandoah County, VA: 5 of 26 full years had 13+ weeks in drought. Less drought-prone than most US counties.

  1. 0
  2. 7
  3. 26
  4. 0
  5. 0
  6. 1
  7. 1
  8. 5
  9. 0
  10. 7
  11. 22
  12. 8
  13. 0
  14. 0
  15. 0
  16. 0
  17. 0
  18. 0
  19. 0
  20. 0
  21. 0
  22. 0
  23. 0
  24. 22
  25. 23
  26. 28

20002025

Drought years: 2002 (26 wk), 2010 (22 wk), 2023 (22 wk), 2024 (23 wk) and 2025 (28 wk). Not a single drought week in 2000, 2003, 2004, 2008, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021 and 2022.

A regular lawn is fine here; plan for the odd dry year

Real droughts are rare here. A smart controller that skips watering after rain covers the odd dry year.

You can keep a regular lawn. Worth doing: a rain-sensing or smart controller, and deeper, less frequent watering if Sep turns dry.

Against the rest of VA

89th most drought-prone of 133 VA counties; the VA middle is 1.9 in 10. Closest on the list: Middlesex County (1.9 in 10) and Sussex County (1.9 in 10). Driest in VA: Halifax County (3.1 in 10). Least drought: Covington City (1.2 in 10).

When in the year it hits

Most often in Sep (22% of weeks), then Oct (18%) and Nov (16%). Least in May (7%). May to September averages 12%.

  1. 13 Jan
  2. 12 Feb
  3. 8 Mar
  4. 13 Apr
  5. 7 May
  6. 7 Jun
  7. 11 Jul
  8. 16 Aug
  9. 22 Sep
  10. 18 Oct
  11. 16 Nov
  12. 16 Dec

The worst year: 2025

2025: 28 weeks in drought, peaking at D2 severe. Across 1,401 weekly maps: 13.1% of all weeks at D1 or worse, 3.8% at D2, 0.7% at D3, never any D4. Longest unbroken spell: 25 weeks, Nov 20, 2001 to May 7, 2002.

Lately

Last drought year: 2025, 28 weeks. 2016-2025: 3 in 10, against 1.3 in 10 for 2000-2015, about the same. So far in 2026: 33 of 44 weeks in drought, through Nov 3, 2026.

Further reading

Shenandoah County lands on the plan covered in keeping a regular lawn. Its worst year, 2025, was not one of the big national drought years; see the worst years since 2000. How each of Shenandoah County's 1,401 weeks was judged: how drought is counted.