Drought in Transylvania County, NC: 3.5 years in 10 since 2000
3.5 years in 10
Transylvania County, NC: 9 of 26 full years had 13+ weeks in drought. About as drought-prone as a typical US county.
- 38
- 42
- 36
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 19
- 38
- 53
- 18
- 2
- 0
- 4
- 0
- 0
- 8
- 30
- 16
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 3
- 12
- 5
- 12
20002025
Drought years: 2000 (38 wk), 2001 (42 wk), 2002 (36 wk), 2006 (19 wk), 2007 (38 wk), 2008 (53 wk), 2009 (18 wk), 2016 (30 wk) and 2017 (16 wk). Not a single drought week in 2003, 2004, 2005, 2011, 2013, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020 and 2021.
Plan for drought as normal: shrink the lawn, go drip and natives
Drought is the normal state of things here. Most of the yard goes to natives and gravel on drip; any grass that stays is a small, tough patch.
If you are replacing turf, plant natives in fall so roots set before the Jul peak, and check your water utility for a turf-removal rebate before you dig.
This is one step drier than the yearly count alone suggests, because 27% of growing-season weeks here were in drought.
Against the rest of NC
20th most drought-prone of 100 NC counties; the NC middle is 3.1 in 10. Closest on the list: Iredell County (3.5 in 10) and Cherokee County (3.5 in 10). Driest in NC: Cleveland County (5 in 10). Least drought: Gates County (1.5 in 10).
When in the year it hits
Most often in Jul (31% of weeks), then Dec (30%) and Mar (29%). Least in May (23%). May to September averages 27%.
- 28 Jan
- 23 Feb
- 29 Mar
- 28 Apr
- 23 May
- 26 Jun
- 31 Jul
- 29 Aug
- 26 Sep
- 27 Oct
- 24 Nov
- 30 Dec
The worst year: 2008
2008: 53 weeks in drought, peaking at D4 exceptional. Across 1,401 weekly maps: 26.9% of all weeks at D1 or worse, 17.3% at D2, 8.5% at D3, 43 weeks with some of the county in D4. Longest unbroken spell: 109 weeks, Apr 10, 2007 to May 5, 2009.
Lately
Last drought year: 2017, 16 weeks. 2016-2025: 2 in 10, against 4.4 in 10 for 2000-2015, wetter lately. So far in 2026: 41 of 44 weeks in drought, through Nov 3, 2026.
Further reading
Transylvania County lands on the plan covered in shrinking the lawn. Its last ten years ran wetter than the ten before; what that does and does not mean. How each of Transylvania County's 1,401 weeks was judged: how drought is counted.