DroughtOdds

Drought in Ward County, TX: 6.5 years in 10 since 2000

6.5 years in 10

Ward County, TX: 17 of 26 full years had 13+ weeks in drought. More drought-prone than most US counties.

  1. 45
  2. 52
  3. 38
  4. 35
  5. 16
  6. 0
  7. 19
  8. 0
  9. 17
  10. 14
  11. 5
  12. 52
  13. 22
  14. 33
  15. 8
  16. 0
  17. 0
  18. 0
  19. 11
  20. 0
  21. 29
  22. 31
  23. 40
  24. 28
  25. 53
  26. 37

20002025

Drought years: 2000 (45 wk), 2001 (52 wk), 2002 (38 wk), 2003 (35 wk), 2004 (16 wk), 2006 (19 wk), 2008 (17 wk), 2009 (14 wk), 2011 (52 wk), 2012 (22 wk), 2013 (33 wk), 2020 (29 wk), 2021 (31 wk), 2022 (40 wk), 2023 (28 wk), 2024 (53 wk) and 2025 (37 wk). Not a single drought week in 2005, 2007, 2015, 2016, 2017 and 2019.

Plan for drought as normal: shrink the lawn, go drip and natives

Drought is the normal state of things here. Most of the yard goes to natives and gravel on drip; any grass that stays is a small, tough patch.

If you are replacing turf, plant natives in fall so roots set before the May peak, and check your water utility for a turf-removal rebate before you dig.

Against the rest of TX

50th most drought-prone of 254 TX counties; the TX middle is 5.8 in 10. Closest on the list: Jeff Davis County (6.5 in 10) and Hudspeth County (6.5 in 10). Driest in TX: Uvalde County (7.7 in 10). Least drought: Jasper County (2.3 in 10).

When in the year it hits

Most often in May (56% of weeks), then Mar (50%) and Apr (50%). Least in Nov (38%). May to September averages 44%.

  1. 40 Jan
  2. 47 Feb
  3. 50 Mar
  4. 50 Apr
  5. 56 May
  6. 44 Jun
  7. 43 Jul
  8. 39 Aug
  9. 39 Sep
  10. 41 Oct
  11. 38 Nov
  12. 39 Dec

The worst year: 2011

2011: 52 weeks in drought, peaking at D4 exceptional. Across 1,401 weekly maps: 43.8% of all weeks at D1 or worse, 24.9% at D2, 11.4% at D3, 84 weeks with some of the county in D4. Longest unbroken spell: 104 weeks, Jul 11, 2023 to Jul 1, 2025.

Lately

Last drought year: 2025, 37 weeks. 2016-2025: 6 in 10, against 6.9 in 10 for 2000-2015, about the same. So far in 2026: 28 of 44 weeks in drought, through Nov 3, 2026.

Further reading

Ward County lands on the plan covered in shrinking the lawn. Its worst year, 2011, was not one of the big national drought years; see the worst years since 2000. How each of Ward County's 1,401 weeks was judged: how drought is counted.