DroughtOdds

Drought in Warren County, NJ: 1.5 years in 10 since 2000

1.5 years in 10

Warren County, NJ: 4 of 26 full years had 13+ weeks in drought. Less drought-prone than most US counties.

  1. 0
  2. 11
  3. 32
  4. 0
  5. 0
  6. 3
  7. 0
  8. 0
  9. 0
  10. 0
  11. 4
  12. 0
  13. 6
  14. 7
  15. 0
  16. 2
  17. 25
  18. 11
  19. 0
  20. 0
  21. 0
  22. 0
  23. 6
  24. 1
  25. 13
  26. 26

20002025

Drought years: 2002 (32 wk), 2016 (25 wk), 2024 (13 wk) and 2025 (26 wk). Not a single drought week in 2000, 2003, 2004, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2011, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020 and 2021.

A regular lawn is fine here; plan for the odd dry year

Real droughts are rare here. A smart controller that skips watering after rain covers the odd dry year.

You can keep a regular lawn. Worth doing: a rain-sensing or smart controller, and deeper, less frequent watering if Dec turns dry.

Drought has been more common in 2016-2025 (3 years in 10) than in 2000-2015 (0.6 in 10).

Against the rest of NJ

9th most drought-prone of 21 NJ counties; the NJ middle is 1.2 in 10. Closest on the list: Mercer County (1.5 in 10) and Burlington County (1.5 in 10). Driest in NJ: Passaic County (1.9 in 10). Least drought: Monmouth County (0.4 in 10).

When in the year it hits

Most often in Dec (20% of weeks), then Nov (17%) and Jan (15%). Least in Aug (5%). May to September averages 9%.

  1. 15 Jan
  2. 15 Feb
  3. 12 Mar
  4. 10 Apr
  5. 13 May
  6. 7 Jun
  7. 6 Jul
  8. 5 Aug
  9. 15 Sep
  10. 13 Oct
  11. 17 Nov
  12. 20 Dec

The worst year: 2002

2002: 32 weeks in drought, peaking at D3 extreme. Across 1,401 weekly maps: 12.1% of all weeks at D1 or worse, 3.5% at D2, 0.6% at D3, never any D4. Longest unbroken spell: 31 weeks, Oct 30, 2001 to May 28, 2002.

Lately

Last drought year: 2025, 26 weeks. 2016-2025: 3 in 10, against 0.6 in 10 for 2000-2015, drier lately. So far in 2026: 22 of 44 weeks in drought, through Nov 3, 2026.

Further reading

Warren County lands on the plan covered in keeping a regular lawn. Its last ten years ran drier than the ten before; what that does and does not mean. How each of Warren County's 1,401 weeks was judged: how drought is counted.