DroughtOdds

Drought in Medina County, TX: 6.9 years in 10 since 2000

6.9 years in 10

Medina County, TX: 18 of 26 full years had 13+ weeks in drought. More drought-prone than most US counties.

  1. 37
  2. 5
  3. 8
  4. 7
  5. 0
  6. 26
  7. 52
  8. 13
  9. 53
  10. 46
  11. 6
  12. 52
  13. 42
  14. 47
  15. 52
  16. 23
  17. 0
  18. 1
  19. 11
  20. 25
  21. 30
  22. 19
  23. 52
  24. 52
  25. 50
  26. 52

20002025

Drought years: 2000 (37 wk), 2005 (26 wk), 2006 (52 wk), 2007 (13 wk), 2008 (53 wk), 2009 (46 wk), 2011 (52 wk), 2012 (42 wk), 2013 (47 wk), 2014 (52 wk), 2015 (23 wk), 2019 (25 wk), 2020 (30 wk), 2021 (19 wk), 2022 (52 wk), 2023 (52 wk), 2024 (50 wk) and 2025 (52 wk). Not a single drought week in 2004 and 2016.

Plan for drought as normal: shrink the lawn, go drip and natives

Drought is the normal state of things here. Most of the yard goes to natives and gravel on drip; any grass that stays is a small, tough patch.

If you are replacing turf, plant natives in fall so roots set before the Mar peak, and check your water utility for a turf-removal rebate before you dig.

Against the rest of TX

18th most drought-prone of 254 TX counties; the TX middle is 5.8 in 10. Closest on the list: Webb County (7.3 in 10) and Real County (6.9 in 10). Driest in TX: Uvalde County (7.7 in 10). Least drought: Jasper County (2.3 in 10).

When in the year it hits

Most often in Mar (64% of weeks), then Apr (61%) and Feb (61%). Least in Jun (48%). May to September averages 54%.

  1. 59 Jan
  2. 61 Feb
  3. 64 Mar
  4. 61 Apr
  5. 57 May
  6. 48 Jun
  7. 49 Jul
  8. 58 Aug
  9. 56 Sep
  10. 57 Oct
  11. 51 Nov
  12. 55 Dec

The worst year: 2006

2006: 52 weeks in drought, peaking at D4 exceptional. Across 1,401 weekly maps: 56.4% of all weeks at D1 or worse, 44.1% at D2, 27.4% at D3, 224 weeks with some of the county in D4. Longest unbroken spell: 140 weeks, Jan 4, 2022 to Sep 3, 2024.

Lately

Last drought year: 2025, 52 weeks. 2016-2025: 7 in 10, against 6.9 in 10 for 2000-2015, about the same. So far in 2026: 29 of 44 weeks in drought, through Nov 3, 2026.

Further reading

Medina County lands on the plan covered in shrinking the lawn. Its worst year, 2006, was not one of the big national drought years; see the worst years since 2000. How each of Medina County's 1,401 weeks was judged: how drought is counted.