DroughtOdds

Drought in Real County, TX: 6.9 years in 10 since 2000

6.9 years in 10

Real County, TX: 18 of 26 full years had 13+ weeks in drought. More drought-prone than most US counties.

  1. 42
  2. 7
  3. 9
  4. 5
  5. 0
  6. 6
  7. 52
  8. 13
  9. 51
  10. 52
  11. 15
  12. 52
  13. 52
  14. 53
  15. 52
  16. 16
  17. 0
  18. 0
  19. 29
  20. 25
  21. 26
  22. 12
  23. 52
  24. 52
  25. 48
  26. 38

20002025

Drought years: 2000 (42 wk), 2006 (52 wk), 2007 (13 wk), 2008 (51 wk), 2009 (52 wk), 2010 (15 wk), 2011 (52 wk), 2012 (52 wk), 2013 (53 wk), 2014 (52 wk), 2015 (16 wk), 2018 (29 wk), 2019 (25 wk), 2020 (26 wk), 2022 (52 wk), 2023 (52 wk), 2024 (48 wk) and 2025 (38 wk). Not a single drought week in 2004, 2016 and 2017.

Plan for drought as normal: shrink the lawn, go drip and natives

Drought is the normal state of things here. Most of the yard goes to natives and gravel on drip; any grass that stays is a small, tough patch.

If you are replacing turf, plant natives in fall so roots set before the Jan peak, and check your water utility for a turf-removal rebate before you dig.

Against the rest of TX

19th most drought-prone of 254 TX counties; the TX middle is 5.8 in 10. Closest on the list: Medina County (6.9 in 10) and Guadalupe County (6.9 in 10). Driest in TX: Uvalde County (7.7 in 10). Least drought: Jasper County (2.3 in 10).

When in the year it hits

Most often in Jan (65% of weeks), then Feb (64%) and Mar (63%). Least in Sep (43%). May to September averages 51%.

  1. 65 Jan
  2. 64 Feb
  3. 63 Mar
  4. 60 Apr
  5. 52 May
  6. 51 Jun
  7. 55 Jul
  8. 51 Aug
  9. 43 Sep
  10. 48 Oct
  11. 54 Nov
  12. 57 Dec

The worst year: 2006

2006: 52 weeks in drought, peaking at D4 exceptional. Across 1,401 weekly maps: 55.3% of all weeks at D1 or worse, 37.5% at D2, 20.1% at D3, 150 weeks with some of the county in D4. Longest unbroken spell: 235 weeks, Oct 26, 2010 to Apr 21, 2015.

Lately

Last drought year: 2025, 38 weeks. 2016-2025: 7 in 10, against 6.9 in 10 for 2000-2015, about the same. So far in 2026: 15 of 44 weeks in drought, through Nov 3, 2026.

Further reading

Real County lands on the plan covered in shrinking the lawn. Its worst year, 2006, was not one of the big national drought years; see the worst years since 2000. How each of Real County's 1,401 weeks was judged: how drought is counted.